SAFE: Swarm For Earthquake Study

Where are They Now?

Heavens-Above : 2013-067-A | 2013-067-B | 2013-067-C | 2013-055-A

  • 12th AGILE Science Workshop "ASTRO-EARTH: astrophysics and high-energy terrestrial phenomena" (May 8 and 9, 2014)
    Studying Seismic Events from the Ground and from Space (A. De Santis)
    Magnetospheric Particles Linked to the Earth (R. Battiston)
    DEMETER: Results and Challenges (M. Parrot)
  • Comparing IRI and IRI-Real-Time with SWARM Electron Density Data (AGU 2014)
    Bilitza, D.; Galkin, I. A.; Stolle, C.; Vesnin, A.; Reinisch, B. W.
  • Electromagnetic perturbations detected by Swarm satellites and related to the first April 2014 M8.1 Chile (EGU 2015)
    Angelo De Santis, Mioara Mandea, George Balasis, Javier Pavón-Carrasco, Enkelejda Qamili, and Gianfranco Cianchini

    Recent scientific literature has suggested that intense seismic activity might generate upward electromagnetic (EM) perturbations that can be detected by ground-based and low altitude spaceborne measurements. For example, very low frequency (VLF) wave observations detected by DEMETER satellite (2004-2010) pointed out a statistically significant decrease of the measured ionospheric wave intensity a few hours before large shallow earthquakes (EQs). This result would confirm the existence of a lithosphere-atmosphere-ionosphere coupling before the occurrence of an impending significant EQ. Swarm ESA constellation offers a great opportunity to study EM perturbations possibly related to seismic activity because it is a multi-satellite low Earth orbit (LEO) mission with a unique space-time configuration able to measure both electric and magnetic fields at various altitudes in the topside ionosphere. Swarm measurements shortly before and after the large shallow M8.1 Chile EQ in 1 April 2014 that occurred in the first year of the mission show some unexplained anomalies that can be related to this large EQ. We report some preliminary results of the analysis.

  • News & Events
  • SAFE project: observing the phenomena preceding Earthquakes (Planetek)
    The project called "Swarm for earthquake study (SAFE)" will study, based on data collected from satellites and from ground-based instruments, what happens during the phase preceding the great earthquakes, trying to identify any electromagnetic signals from space. The project is coordinated by the INGV and funded by the European Space Agency. Planetek Italia will also collaborate to the project.

    SAFE is going to start on May 2, 2015, and will last 16 months.

    "The project aims to study the preparatory phase of large earthquakes through the analysis of electromagnetic data from sensors onboard the three satellites of ESA Swarm constellation in order to better understand the physical mechanisms involved," says Angelo De Santis, research director of the INGV and coordinator of the study - In particular, the Safe project aims to study the coupling between the outer part of the solid Earth, the lithosphere, where the earthquakes occur, and the overlying fluid portion, the atmosphere, with the objective to capture the information exchanged between the two layers through the integration of the data acquired by the satellites Swarm with those collected by other satellites and measuredby ground-based stations"

    * Studiare i terremoti dalla Terra e dallo Spazio (INGV) | Ingv studia i terremoti dalla terra e dallo spazio (Protezione Civile)
  • 13th AGILE Science Workshop "AGILE: 8 and counting"
    Lithosphere-Atmosphere-Ionosphere Coupling before Large Earthquakes (A. De Santis)


    * Geospace perturbations induced by the Earth: The state of the art and future trends (Physics and Chemistry of the Earth)
  • SAFE: Swarm for earthquake study (SIF Conference, Rome, 24 Sept. 2015)
    A. De Santis, G. De Franceschi, R. Di Giovambattista, L. Perrone, L. Alfonsi, G. Cianchini, F. J. Pavon-Carrasco, C. Cesaroni, L. Spogli
  • Swarm for Earthquake study (SAFE) (Congresso Nazionale)
    De Santis A., Alfonsi L., Cesaroni C., Cianchini G., De Franceschi G., Di Giovambattista R., Pavon Carrasco F.-J., Perrone L., Spogli L., Abbattista C., Amoruso L., Carbone M., Drimaco D.

    The primary goal of the Swarm satellite mission is to measure the Earth's magnetic field. The newborn SAFE project (funded by ESA under the framework STSE Swarm+Innovation, 2014) aims at applying the new approach of geosystemics to the analysis of Swarm data for investigating the preparatory phase of earthquakes. The main objective is to explore the possible link between magnetic/ionospheric anomalies and large earthquakes analysing Swarm as well as ground-based data (seismic, magnetic, GNSS, etc.). This paper shows the state of the art in lithosphere-atmosphere-ionosphere coupling (LAIC) and the expected contribution of SAFE in the field.

    * Long-term continuous radon monitoring in Italy [DOI: 10.4401/ag-6735] | Real-time radon monitoring in the laboratory: a pilot approach to investigate the Earth crust
  • IRI-2015 Workshop
    Comparisons of SWARM Electron Temperature Data with IRI
    Vladimir Truhlik, Dieter Bilitza, Claudia Stolle, Stephan Buchert, Ales Bezdek, Katerina Podolska, Ludmila Triskova
  • 12th European Space Weather Week
    SAFE ESA-funded Project: space weather fundamental for pre-earthquake signals confutation De santis, A et al.
  • Interdisciplinary Study of Pre-earthquake Processes: Observation, Modeling, and Forecasting II (AGU Fall Meeting 2015)
    The SAFE ESA-funded Project: how to approach for an integrated system of earthquake physics study

    * Swarm Two Years on: Achievements in Unraveling the Earth's Magnetic Field I | II Posters
  • Can electric signals in Earth’s atmosphere predict earthquakes? (Science, 21 December 2015)
    Although magnetometers may be capable of picking up precursor signals in surface rocks, they have one major drawback: They must be located within 100 kilometers or so of the epicenter. That’s why Angelo de Santis, director of research at the National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology in Rome, and others have turned to satellites to get a global view of what happens in the atmosphere before earthquakes. Through a new research initiative called SAFE (Swarm for earthquake study), de Santis and his colleagues will pair data from the European Space Agency’s Swarm satellites, launched in 2013, with those from traditional earthquake monitoring devices like seismometers and GPS stations.

    Their goal, de Santis says, is first to understand the link between Earth’s crust and atmosphere. “If you understand the physics, you double the chances to make predictions,” he says. They will also study past earthquakes to identify any patterns that precede known ruptures, and then see whether those same patterns precede future earthquakes. Already, at the meeting, they reported finding ionospheric anomalies before the 2014 Iquique earthquake in Chile and the recent disaster in Nepal.

    * 電磁気変化に着目した地震予知理論、日本人科学者が発表 (Chosun Online)
  • Land, ocean and near surface magnetic measurements at the time of Swarm satellite mission (co-organized) (EGU 2016)
    Satellite measurements such as those provided by the present ESA Swarm mission provide measurements of the geomagnetic field with unprecedented spatial resolution and homogeneous coverage, which are not available from Earth’s surface data. On the other hand, downward continuation of satellite data is affected by external magnetic field sources in the ionosphere. Within this context, land, ocean and near surface measurements are an essential complement of satellite data.
  • Living Planet Symposium 2016
    Swarm satellite data analysis for some earthquake case studies
    De Santis, Angelo (1); De Franceschi, Giorgiana (1); Di Giovambattista, Rita (1); Perrone, Loredana (1); Alfonsi, Lucilla (1); Cianchini, Gianfranco (1); Pavon-Carrasco, Francisco Javier (1); Cesaroni, Claudio (1); Spogli, Luca (1); Malagnini, Andrea (1); Settimi, Alessandro (1); Piscini, Alessandro (1); De Santis, Anna (1); Amoruso, Leonardo (2); Carbone, Marianna (2) 1: INGV, Rome, Italy; 2: Planetek Italia, Bari, Italy
    Earthquakes Boards

    To pursue the SAFE Project objectives and in order to investigate ionospheric signatures of possible lithospheric origin, the geospace conditions have been carefully investigated by considering the following worldwide adopted geomagnetic indices: ap, AE and Dst. When these indices exceeded a given threshold, the anomalies detected from both ground based and in situ data are described as external forcing related, without fully excluding their possible LAIC origin. The results shown on the following data-sheets are then based on the above considerations.
  • Le premier Workshop Cubesat Étudiant
    Cubesat projects within IPGP
  • Geosphere coupling and hydrothermal anomalies before the 2009 Mw 6.3 L'Aquila earthquake in Italy (NHESS)
    Lixin Wu, Shuo Zheng, Angelo De Santis, Kai Qin, Rosa Di Mauro, Shanjun Liu, and Mario Luigi Rainone
  • Operational earthquake forecasting/prediction: Advances in models, observations and verification (ESC2016)
    Conveners: Angelo De Santis, Vladimir Kossobokov, Dimitar Ouzounov, Gerassimos Papadopoulos, Antonella Peresan, Sergey Pulinets, J.D. Zechar
  • What Causes GPS Signal Loss on Satellites like Swarm? (Eos)
    A new study by Xiong et al. connects these losses of GPS signal to equatorial plasma irregularities (EPIs), which occur when the electron density in the ionosphere’s F region undergoes large, rapid changes. EPIs mostly occur close to Earth’s magnetic equator, which might explain why the loss of GPS signal to Swarm satellites also occurred most frequently when the satellites were at low latitudes.

    * The Swarm satellite loss of GPS signal and its relation to ionospheric plasma irregularities (Space Weather)
  • Magnetic oceans and electric Earth (ESA)
    Alexander Grayver, from ETH Zurich, said, “The Swarm and Champ satellites have allowed us to distinguish between the rigid ocean ‘lithosphere’ and the more pliable ‘asthenosphere’ underneath.”
    The lithosphere is the rigid outer part of the earth, consisting of the crust and upper mantle, while the asthenosphere lies just below the lithosphere and is hotter and more fluid than the lithosphere.
    “Effectively, ‘geo-electric sounding from space’, this result is a first for space exploration,” he continues.
    “These new results are important for understanding plate tectonics, the theory of which argues that Earth’s lithosphere consists of rigid plates that glide on the hotter and less rigid asthenosphere that serves as a lubricant, enabling plate motion.”
    * Satellite tidal magnetic signals constrain oceanic lithosphere-asthenosphere boundary (Science Advances)
  • SAFE project Final Open Study Conference
    Attendance is free of charge, but registration is required from 16 August to 30 September 2016.
    The preliminary agenda is available here
  • Potential earthquake precursory pattern from space: The 2015 Nepal event as seen by magnetic Swarm satellites (EPSL)
    A. De Santis G. Balasis F.J. Pavón-Carrasco G. Cianchini M. Mandea
  • Looking from the precursors of major earthquakes (INGV)
    A systemic approach to the study of the preparatory phase of a strong earthquake. The magnetic anomalies and collected by the ionospheric Swarm satellites could in the future to anticipate the arrival of the strongest earthquakes. ESA support to SAFE project recently concluded

  • SWARM2017
    Swarm satellite data analysis for earthquake preparatory phase study Angelo De Santis on the behalf of SAFE Team
    The Contribution of CSES Mission to Study Lithosphere-Atmosphere-Ionosphere Coupling Phenomena Through the Analysis of Combined Missions Data and Ground Measurements Livio Conti
    CSES Electric Field Detector Calibration Tools Based on IRI, IGRF, and SWARM Data Piero Diego

    P06: Remote sensing of earthquakes, lightning and radiation belts - posters
    Time: Monday, 20/Mar/2017: 6:00pm - 7:00pm
    Chair: Michael E Purucker
    Chair: Georgios Balasis
    3AM1: Remote sensing of earthquakes, lightning and radiation belts
    Time: Wednesday, 22/Mar/2017: 8:30am - 10:05am
    Session Chair: Michael E Purucker
    Session Chair: Georgios Balasis

    * Supersonic plasma jets discovered | 地球上空を取り巻く超音速のプラズマジェットの存在を欧州宇宙機関が観測に成功 | 地壳所提前部署电磁监测试验卫星在轨交叉检验计划
  • Short-term Earthquakes Forecast (StEF) and multi-parametric time-Dependent Assessment of Seismic Hazard (t-DASH) (co-organized) (EGU2017)
    An integrated approach to pre-earthquake physics study: some results from the SAFE Project, Angelo De Santis and the SAFE Project
    A new multi-parametric climatological approach to the study of the earthquake preparatory phase: the 2016 Amatrice-Norcia (Central Italy) seismic sequence Alessandro Piscini, Angelo De Santis, Dedalo Marchetti, and Gianfranco Cianchini
  • The Swarm 7th Data Quality Workshop (ESA)
    Xuhui Shen Status of China Earthquake-related Satellite Missions (CSES) mission and data policy
  • Electrical conductivity of the global ocean (Earth, Planets and Space)
    Robert H. Tyler, Tim P. Boyer, Takuto Minami, Melissa M. Zweng and James R. Reagan
  • Multi precursors analysis associated with the powerful Ecuador (MW = 7.8) earthquake of 16 April 2016 using Swarm satellites data in conjunction with other multi-platform satellite and ground data (Advances in Space Research)
    Mehdi Akhoondzadeh, Angelo De Santis, Dedalo Marchetti, Alessandro Piscini, Gianfranco Cianchini
  • Swarm trio becomes a quartet (ESA, 22 February 2018)
    With the aim of making the best possible use of existing satellites, ESA and Canada have made a deal that turns Swarm into a four-satellite mission to shed even more light on space weather and features such as the aurora borealis.

    In orbit since 2013, ESA’s three identical Swarm satellites have been returning a wealth of information about how our magnetic field is generated and how it protects us from dangerous electrically charged atomic particles in the solar wind.

    Canada’s Cassiope satellite carries three instrument packages, one of which is e-POP. It delivers information on space weather which complements that provided by Swarm. Therefore, the mission teams began looking into how they could work together to make the most of the two missions.
  • Pre-seismic geomagnetic and ionosphere signatures related to the Mw5.7 earthquake occurred in Vrancea zone on September 24, 2016 (Acta Geophysica, 02 February 2018)
    Dragos Armand Stanica, Dumitru Stanica, Jan Błęcki, Tomasz Ernst, Waldemar Jóźwiak, Jan Słomiński
  • Ionospheric anomalies detected by ionosonde and possibly related to crustal earthquakes in Greece (Ann. Geophys., 36, 361-371, 2018)
    Loredana Perrone, Angelo De Santis, Cristoforo Abbattista, Lucilla Alfonsi, Leonardo Amoruso, Marianna Carbone, Claudio Cesaroni, Gianfranco Cianchini, Giorgiana De Franceschi, Anna De Santis, Rita Di Giovambattista, Dedalo Marchetti, Francisco J. Pavòn-Carrasco, Alessandro Piscini, Luca Spogli, and Francesca Santoro

    Data availability. Data of the Athens digisonde are available in the Near-Earth Space Data Infrastructure for e-Science (ESPAS) portal, https://www.espas-fp7.eu/portal/ (last access: 15 October 2016).
  • [M-IS03] Interdisciplinary studies on pre-earthquake processes (JpGU2018)
    [MIS03-09] Statistical validation of the possible Lithosphere-Atmosphere-Ionosphere Coupling prior to earthquakes by means of 3.5 years of Swarm satellite electromagnetic data analysis
    ★Invited Papers
    *Angelo De Santis1、On behalf of SAFE and INGV LIMADOU Teams (1.National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology (INGV))
  • ISEF-IWEP5
    Angelo De-Santis Pre-earthquake anomaly study from space: SAFE and LIMADOU-science Projects
  • Satellite Missions That Enhance the Scientific Value of Swarm
    Two missions are presently particularly interesting in this context: The TPM-supported Canadian e-POP payload on the CASSIOPE satellite, now also called "Swarm Echo", and the Chinese CSES satellite. But other satellite missions, like MMS, ICON, GOLD, and others could also be interesting.

    Swarm DISC also plans to play an active role in the collaboration with the scientific team working on the Chinese CSES satellite (China Seismo-Electromagnetic Satellite), in particular regarding calibration of the magnetometer data and scientific exploitation of the data in combination with Swarm.

  • SAFE & Swarm links
  • Swarm Scientific Projects
  • SAFE - SwArm For Earthquake study (ResearchGate)
  • Swarm Data Access (ESA) | Swarm (eoPortal) | 第3回 SWARM Science Meeting 参加報告 (地磁気センターニュース, 2014年7月)
  • SAFE (Swarm for earthquake study) is a project funded by ESA (Contract No. 4000116832/15/NL/MP) in the frame of STSE (Support To Science Element) Swarm + Innovation Program (Planetek)
  • Piano Triennale di Attività 2015 - 2017 (INGV)
    17) SAFE (SwArm For Earthquake study) finanziato dall’ESA. Angelo de Santis. circa 150 mila euro (di cui circa 100k all’INGV), per 16 mesi a partire da maggio 2015.
  • Funded Projects (IAASARS)
    Swarm Investigation of the Role of High-Frequency (0.1-5 Hz) ULF Waves in Magnetosphere-Ionosphere CouplingG. Balasis2015-201620.000
    Swarm for Earthquake Study (SAFE) G. Balasis 2016 16.000
  • ESA 2012 Swarm Science and Validation Opportunity: Electric, Magnetic and Ionospheric Survey of Seismically Active Regions with SWARM (EMISSARS) - Proposal (INFP)
  • Electric, Magnetic and Ionospheric Survey of Seismically Active Regions with SWARM (EGU 2014)
  • 空間対地観測数据平台
  • Changes in Magnetosphere-Ionosphere Coupling during substorm onset (London NERC DTP) | AMPERE (eoPortal)
  • H27年度名古屋大学太陽地球環境研究所研究集会「低高度衛星磁場観測研究会」

  • The Flyer of the SAFE-Swarm project

    [Pre-Earthquakes | Italy]